LandMark Optoelectronics Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

3081 Stock  TWD 369.50  14.50  4.08%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of LandMark Optoelectronics on the next trading day is expected to be 346.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 23.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,257. LandMark Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for LandMark Optoelectronics is based on an artificially constructed time series of LandMark Optoelectronics daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

LandMark Optoelectronics 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of LandMark Optoelectronics on the next trading day is expected to be 346.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 23.73, mean absolute percentage error of 779.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,257.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LandMark Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LandMark Optoelectronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LandMark Optoelectronics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LandMark OptoelectronicsLandMark Optoelectronics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

LandMark Optoelectronics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LandMark Optoelectronics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LandMark Optoelectronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 341.40 and 351.10, respectively. We have considered LandMark Optoelectronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
369.50
341.40
Downside
346.25
Expected Value
351.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LandMark Optoelectronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LandMark Optoelectronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.0668
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -11.3856
MADMean absolute deviation23.7252
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0731
SAESum of the absolute errors1257.4375
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. LandMark Optoelectronics 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for LandMark Optoelectronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LandMark Optoelectronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
350.15355.00359.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
315.77320.62390.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
330.21346.73363.26
Details

Other Forecasting Options for LandMark Optoelectronics

For every potential investor in LandMark, whether a beginner or expert, LandMark Optoelectronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LandMark Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LandMark. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LandMark Optoelectronics' price trends.

LandMark Optoelectronics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LandMark Optoelectronics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LandMark Optoelectronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LandMark Optoelectronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LandMark Optoelectronics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LandMark Optoelectronics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LandMark Optoelectronics' current price.

LandMark Optoelectronics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LandMark Optoelectronics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LandMark Optoelectronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LandMark Optoelectronics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LandMark Optoelectronics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LandMark Optoelectronics Risk Indicators

The analysis of LandMark Optoelectronics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LandMark Optoelectronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting landmark stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with LandMark Optoelectronics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if LandMark Optoelectronics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in LandMark Optoelectronics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against LandMark Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to LandMark Optoelectronics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace LandMark Optoelectronics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back LandMark Optoelectronics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling LandMark Optoelectronics to buy it.
The correlation of LandMark Optoelectronics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as LandMark Optoelectronics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if LandMark Optoelectronics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for LandMark Optoelectronics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for LandMark Stock Analysis

When running LandMark Optoelectronics' price analysis, check to measure LandMark Optoelectronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LandMark Optoelectronics is operating at the current time. Most of LandMark Optoelectronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LandMark Optoelectronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LandMark Optoelectronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LandMark Optoelectronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.