Hua Xia Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| 600015 Stock | 7.69 0.07 0.90% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hua Xia Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 7.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.35. Hua Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hua Xia stock prices and determine the direction of Hua Xia Bank's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hua Xia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Hua |
Hua Xia 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hua Xia Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 7.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hua Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hua Xia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hua Xia Stock Forecast Pattern
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Hua Xia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hua Xia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hua Xia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.55 and 9.88, respectively. We have considered Hua Xia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hua Xia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hua Xia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.6207 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0677 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1465 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0201 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.35 |
Predictive Modules for Hua Xia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hua Xia Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Hua Xia
For every potential investor in Hua, whether a beginner or expert, Hua Xia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hua Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hua. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hua Xia's price trends.Hua Xia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hua Xia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hua Xia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hua Xia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hua Xia Bank Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hua Xia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hua Xia's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hua Xia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hua Xia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hua Xia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hua Xia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hua Xia Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hua Xia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hua Xia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hua Xia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hua stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Variance | 4.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Hua Stock
Hua Xia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hua Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hua with respect to the benefits of owning Hua Xia security.