Kunwu Jiuding Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

600053 Stock   16.25  0.04  0.25%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Kunwu Jiuding Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 15.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.16. Kunwu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kunwu Jiuding stock prices and determine the direction of Kunwu Jiuding Investment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kunwu Jiuding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Kunwu Jiuding's Cash is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Assets is expected to grow to about 412.2 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 3 B.
Kunwu Jiuding polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Kunwu Jiuding Investment as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Kunwu Jiuding Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Kunwu Jiuding Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 15.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 0.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kunwu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kunwu Jiuding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kunwu Jiuding Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kunwu Jiuding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kunwu Jiuding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kunwu Jiuding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.30 and 19.83, respectively. We have considered Kunwu Jiuding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.25
15.57
Expected Value
19.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kunwu Jiuding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kunwu Jiuding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9185
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6747
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0456
SAESum of the absolute errors41.1556
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Kunwu Jiuding historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Kunwu Jiuding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kunwu Jiuding Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9816.2520.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1914.4618.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.7615.7816.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kunwu Jiuding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kunwu Jiuding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kunwu Jiuding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kunwu Jiuding Investment.

Other Forecasting Options for Kunwu Jiuding

For every potential investor in Kunwu, whether a beginner or expert, Kunwu Jiuding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kunwu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kunwu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kunwu Jiuding's price trends.

Kunwu Jiuding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kunwu Jiuding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kunwu Jiuding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kunwu Jiuding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kunwu Jiuding Investment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kunwu Jiuding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kunwu Jiuding's current price.

Kunwu Jiuding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kunwu Jiuding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kunwu Jiuding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kunwu Jiuding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kunwu Jiuding Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kunwu Jiuding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kunwu Jiuding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kunwu Jiuding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kunwu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Kunwu Stock

Kunwu Jiuding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kunwu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kunwu with respect to the benefits of owning Kunwu Jiuding security.