Nanjing OLO Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

603326 Stock   6.80  0.05  0.73%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nanjing OLO Home on the next trading day is expected to be 6.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.83. Nanjing Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nanjing OLO stock prices and determine the direction of Nanjing OLO Home's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nanjing OLO's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Nanjing OLO's Cash is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Assets is expected to grow to about 361.3 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.4 B.
A two period moving average forecast for Nanjing OLO is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Nanjing OLO Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nanjing OLO Home on the next trading day is expected to be 6.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nanjing Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nanjing OLO's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nanjing OLO Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nanjing OLO Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nanjing OLO's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nanjing OLO's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.79 and 9.81, respectively. We have considered Nanjing OLO's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.80
6.80
Expected Value
9.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nanjing OLO stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nanjing OLO stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.4656
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0408
MADMean absolute deviation0.1497
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0238
SAESum of the absolute errors8.835
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Nanjing OLO Home price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Nanjing OLO. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Nanjing OLO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nanjing OLO Home. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.007.0110.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.506.519.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nanjing OLO. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nanjing OLO's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nanjing OLO's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nanjing OLO Home.

Other Forecasting Options for Nanjing OLO

For every potential investor in Nanjing, whether a beginner or expert, Nanjing OLO's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nanjing Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nanjing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nanjing OLO's price trends.

Nanjing OLO Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nanjing OLO stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nanjing OLO could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nanjing OLO by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nanjing OLO Home Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nanjing OLO's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nanjing OLO's current price.

Nanjing OLO Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nanjing OLO stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nanjing OLO shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nanjing OLO stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nanjing OLO Home entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nanjing OLO Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nanjing OLO's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nanjing OLO's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nanjing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Nanjing Stock

Nanjing OLO financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nanjing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nanjing with respect to the benefits of owning Nanjing OLO security.