Beijing Roborock Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

688169 Stock   222.51  8.01  3.73%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Beijing Roborock Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 222.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 541.66. Beijing Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Beijing Roborock stock prices and determine the direction of Beijing Roborock Technology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Beijing Roborock's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Beijing Roborock's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 648.9 M, whereas Cash is forecasted to decline to about 812.9 M.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Beijing Roborock works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Beijing Roborock Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Beijing Roborock Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 222.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.18, mean absolute percentage error of 179.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 541.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beijing Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beijing Roborock's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beijing Roborock Stock Forecast Pattern

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Beijing Roborock Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beijing Roborock's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beijing Roborock's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 217.09 and 227.21, respectively. We have considered Beijing Roborock's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
222.51
217.09
Downside
222.15
Expected Value
227.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beijing Roborock stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beijing Roborock stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.138
MADMean absolute deviation9.1807
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0374
SAESum of the absolute errors541.6622
When Beijing Roborock Technology prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Beijing Roborock Technology trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Beijing Roborock observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Beijing Roborock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Roborock Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
209.44214.50219.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
192.43197.49235.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
186.96234.59282.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Roborock. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Roborock's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Roborock's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Roborock Tec.

Other Forecasting Options for Beijing Roborock

For every potential investor in Beijing, whether a beginner or expert, Beijing Roborock's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beijing Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beijing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beijing Roborock's price trends.

Beijing Roborock Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beijing Roborock stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beijing Roborock could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beijing Roborock by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beijing Roborock Tec Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Beijing Roborock's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Beijing Roborock's current price.

Beijing Roborock Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beijing Roborock stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beijing Roborock shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beijing Roborock stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beijing Roborock Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beijing Roborock Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beijing Roborock's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beijing Roborock's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beijing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Roborock financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Roborock security.