Shanghai Rendu Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

688193 Stock   42.38  0.54  1.26%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 41.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.49. Shanghai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shanghai Rendu stock prices and determine the direction of Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shanghai Rendu's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Shanghai Rendu's Retained Earnings are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Accounts Payable is expected to grow to about 7.8 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 664.4 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Shanghai Rendu is based on an artificially constructed time series of Shanghai Rendu daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Shanghai Rendu 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology on the next trading day is expected to be 41.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08, mean absolute percentage error of 8.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 110.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shanghai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shanghai Rendu's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shanghai Rendu Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shanghai Rendu Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shanghai Rendu's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shanghai Rendu's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.99 and 46.75, respectively. We have considered Shanghai Rendu's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
42.38
41.87
Expected Value
46.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shanghai Rendu stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shanghai Rendu stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.5094
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.4967
MADMean absolute deviation2.0847
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0588
SAESum of the absolute errors110.49
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Shanghai Rendu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai Rendu Biote. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.5042.3847.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.7032.5846.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.0641.2146.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shanghai Rendu. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shanghai Rendu's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shanghai Rendu's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shanghai Rendu Biote.

Other Forecasting Options for Shanghai Rendu

For every potential investor in Shanghai, whether a beginner or expert, Shanghai Rendu's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shanghai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shanghai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shanghai Rendu's price trends.

Shanghai Rendu Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shanghai Rendu stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shanghai Rendu could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shanghai Rendu by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shanghai Rendu Biote Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shanghai Rendu's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shanghai Rendu's current price.

Shanghai Rendu Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shanghai Rendu stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shanghai Rendu shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shanghai Rendu stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shanghai Rendu Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shanghai Rendu's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shanghai Rendu's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shanghai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai Rendu financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Rendu security.