ROPEOK Technology Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

688619 Stock   9.35  0.36  4.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ROPEOK Technology Group on the next trading day is expected to be 9.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.41. ROPEOK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ROPEOK Technology stock prices and determine the direction of ROPEOK Technology Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ROPEOK Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, ROPEOK Technology's Property Plant And Equipment Net is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Debt is expected to grow to about 99.8 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 1.5 B.
A naive forecasting model for ROPEOK Technology is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ROPEOK Technology Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ROPEOK Technology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ROPEOK Technology Group on the next trading day is expected to be 9.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ROPEOK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ROPEOK Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ROPEOK Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ROPEOK TechnologyROPEOK Technology Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

ROPEOK Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ROPEOK Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ROPEOK Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.66 and 13.46, respectively. We have considered ROPEOK Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.35
9.06
Expected Value
13.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ROPEOK Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ROPEOK Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.4671
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3182
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0425
SAESum of the absolute errors19.4106
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ROPEOK Technology Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ROPEOK Technology. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ROPEOK Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ROPEOK Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.509.9014.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.937.3311.73
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ROPEOK Technology

For every potential investor in ROPEOK, whether a beginner or expert, ROPEOK Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ROPEOK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ROPEOK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ROPEOK Technology's price trends.

ROPEOK Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ROPEOK Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ROPEOK Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ROPEOK Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ROPEOK Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ROPEOK Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ROPEOK Technology's current price.

ROPEOK Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ROPEOK Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ROPEOK Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ROPEOK Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ROPEOK Technology Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ROPEOK Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of ROPEOK Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ROPEOK Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ropeok stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in ROPEOK Stock

ROPEOK Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether ROPEOK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ROPEOK with respect to the benefits of owning ROPEOK Technology security.