Minetech Resources Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

7219 Stock   0.13  0.01  7.14%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Minetech Resources Bhd on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24. Minetech Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Minetech Resources Bhd is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Minetech Resources 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Minetech Resources Bhd on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Minetech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Minetech Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Minetech Resources Stock Forecast Pattern

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Minetech Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Minetech Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Minetech Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.59, respectively. We have considered Minetech Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.13
0.14
Expected Value
4.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Minetech Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Minetech Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.4643
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0041
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0286
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2375
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Minetech Resources. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Minetech Resources Bhd and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Minetech Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Minetech Resources Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.134.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.124.57
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Minetech Resources

For every potential investor in Minetech, whether a beginner or expert, Minetech Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Minetech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Minetech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Minetech Resources' price trends.

Minetech Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Minetech Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Minetech Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Minetech Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Minetech Resources Bhd Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Minetech Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Minetech Resources' current price.

Minetech Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Minetech Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Minetech Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Minetech Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Minetech Resources Bhd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Minetech Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Minetech Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Minetech Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting minetech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Minetech Stock

Minetech Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Minetech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Minetech with respect to the benefits of owning Minetech Resources security.