CLOUDFLARE INC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

8CF Stock  EUR 104.30  1.62  1.53%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CLOUDFLARE INC A on the next trading day is expected to be 104.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.02. CLOUDFLARE Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for CLOUDFLARE INC is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

CLOUDFLARE INC Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CLOUDFLARE INC A on the next trading day is expected to be 104.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32, mean absolute percentage error of 9.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 137.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CLOUDFLARE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CLOUDFLARE INC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CLOUDFLARE INC Stock Forecast Pattern

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CLOUDFLARE INC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CLOUDFLARE INC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CLOUDFLARE INC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 101.38 and 107.22, respectively. We have considered CLOUDFLARE INC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
104.30
101.38
Downside
104.30
Expected Value
107.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CLOUDFLARE INC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CLOUDFLARE INC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.6979
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.7903
MADMean absolute deviation2.3224
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0255
SAESum of the absolute errors137.02
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of CLOUDFLARE INC A price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of CLOUDFLARE INC. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for CLOUDFLARE INC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CLOUDFLARE INC A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.38104.30107.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.87115.54118.46
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CLOUDFLARE INC

For every potential investor in CLOUDFLARE, whether a beginner or expert, CLOUDFLARE INC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CLOUDFLARE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CLOUDFLARE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CLOUDFLARE INC's price trends.

CLOUDFLARE INC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CLOUDFLARE INC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CLOUDFLARE INC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CLOUDFLARE INC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CLOUDFLARE INC A Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CLOUDFLARE INC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CLOUDFLARE INC's current price.

CLOUDFLARE INC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CLOUDFLARE INC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CLOUDFLARE INC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CLOUDFLARE INC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CLOUDFLARE INC A entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CLOUDFLARE INC Risk Indicators

The analysis of CLOUDFLARE INC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CLOUDFLARE INC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cloudflare stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for CLOUDFLARE Stock Analysis

When running CLOUDFLARE INC's price analysis, check to measure CLOUDFLARE INC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CLOUDFLARE INC is operating at the current time. Most of CLOUDFLARE INC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CLOUDFLARE INC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CLOUDFLARE INC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CLOUDFLARE INC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.