Scandinavian Tobacco Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

8ZI Stock  EUR 12.74  0.18  1.39%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Scandinavian Tobacco Group on the next trading day is expected to be 13.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.58. Scandinavian Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Scandinavian Tobacco's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Scandinavian Tobacco Group is based on a synthetically constructed Scandinavian Tobaccodaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Scandinavian Tobacco 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Scandinavian Tobacco Group on the next trading day is expected to be 13.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scandinavian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scandinavian Tobacco's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Scandinavian Tobacco Stock Forecast Pattern

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Scandinavian Tobacco Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Scandinavian Tobacco's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scandinavian Tobacco's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.62 and 14.76, respectively. We have considered Scandinavian Tobacco's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.74
13.19
Expected Value
14.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scandinavian Tobacco stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scandinavian Tobacco stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria79.4432
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1866
MADMean absolute deviation0.2823
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0215
SAESum of the absolute errors11.576
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Scandinavian Tobacco 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Scandinavian Tobacco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scandinavian Tobacco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1712.7414.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1511.7213.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.3713.2714.17
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Scandinavian Tobacco

For every potential investor in Scandinavian, whether a beginner or expert, Scandinavian Tobacco's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scandinavian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scandinavian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scandinavian Tobacco's price trends.

Scandinavian Tobacco Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Scandinavian Tobacco stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Scandinavian Tobacco could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scandinavian Tobacco by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Scandinavian Tobacco Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Scandinavian Tobacco's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Scandinavian Tobacco's current price.

Scandinavian Tobacco Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scandinavian Tobacco stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scandinavian Tobacco shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scandinavian Tobacco stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Scandinavian Tobacco Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Scandinavian Tobacco Risk Indicators

The analysis of Scandinavian Tobacco's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scandinavian Tobacco's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scandinavian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Scandinavian Stock

Scandinavian Tobacco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scandinavian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scandinavian with respect to the benefits of owning Scandinavian Tobacco security.