Dave Busters Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

9DB Stock  EUR 35.40  0.20  0.56%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dave Busters Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 35.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.19. Dave Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dave Busters' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Dave Busters - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Dave Busters prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Dave Busters price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Dave Busters Enterta.

Dave Busters Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dave Busters Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 35.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04, mean absolute percentage error of 1.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dave Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dave Busters' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dave Busters Stock Forecast Pattern

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Dave Busters Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dave Busters' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dave Busters' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.66 and 39.24, respectively. We have considered Dave Busters' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35.40
35.45
Expected Value
39.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dave Busters stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dave Busters stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1933
MADMean absolute deviation1.0372
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0315
SAESum of the absolute errors61.1936
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Dave Busters observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Dave Busters Entertainment observations.

Predictive Modules for Dave Busters

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dave Busters Enterta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.6135.4039.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.0631.8535.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.8635.3638.86
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dave Busters

For every potential investor in Dave, whether a beginner or expert, Dave Busters' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dave Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dave. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dave Busters' price trends.

Dave Busters Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dave Busters stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dave Busters could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dave Busters by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dave Busters Enterta Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dave Busters' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dave Busters' current price.

Dave Busters Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dave Busters stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dave Busters shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dave Busters stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dave Busters Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dave Busters Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dave Busters' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dave Busters' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dave stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Dave Stock

When determining whether Dave Busters Enterta offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Dave Busters' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Dave Busters Entertainment Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Dave Busters Entertainment Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dave Busters to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dave Busters' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dave Busters is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dave Busters' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.