NIPPON PROLOGIS Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

9NPA Stock  EUR 1,430  20.00  1.42%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 1,430 with a mean absolute deviation of 16.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 985.00. NIPPON Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NIPPON PROLOGIS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for NIPPON PROLOGIS is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

NIPPON PROLOGIS Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 1,430 with a mean absolute deviation of 16.69, mean absolute percentage error of 414.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 985.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NIPPON Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NIPPON PROLOGIS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NIPPON PROLOGIS Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NIPPON PROLOGISNIPPON PROLOGIS Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

NIPPON PROLOGIS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NIPPON PROLOGIS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NIPPON PROLOGIS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,429 and 1,431, respectively. We have considered NIPPON PROLOGIS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,430
1,430
Expected Value
1,431
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NIPPON PROLOGIS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NIPPON PROLOGIS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.4626
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 5.8475
MADMean absolute deviation16.6949
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0114
SAESum of the absolute errors985.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of NIPPON PROLOGIS. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for NIPPON PROLOGIS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4291,4301,431
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2401,2411,573
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,4161,4361,456
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NIPPON PROLOGIS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NIPPON PROLOGIS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NIPPON PROLOGIS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT.

Other Forecasting Options for NIPPON PROLOGIS

For every potential investor in NIPPON, whether a beginner or expert, NIPPON PROLOGIS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NIPPON Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NIPPON. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NIPPON PROLOGIS's price trends.

NIPPON PROLOGIS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NIPPON PROLOGIS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NIPPON PROLOGIS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NIPPON PROLOGIS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NIPPON PROLOGIS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NIPPON PROLOGIS's current price.

NIPPON PROLOGIS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NIPPON PROLOGIS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NIPPON PROLOGIS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NIPPON PROLOGIS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NIPPON PROLOGIS Risk Indicators

The analysis of NIPPON PROLOGIS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NIPPON PROLOGIS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nippon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in NIPPON Stock

NIPPON PROLOGIS financial ratios help investors to determine whether NIPPON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NIPPON with respect to the benefits of owning NIPPON PROLOGIS security.