Athena Bitcoin Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ABIT Stock  USD 0.11  0.01  8.33%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Athena Bitcoin Global on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.52. Athena Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Athena Bitcoin simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Athena Bitcoin Global are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Athena Bitcoin Global prices get older.

Athena Bitcoin Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Athena Bitcoin Global on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Athena Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Athena Bitcoin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Athena Bitcoin Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Athena Bitcoin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Athena Bitcoin's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Athena Bitcoin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 19.57, respectively. We have considered Athena Bitcoin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.11
0.11
Expected Value
19.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Athena Bitcoin pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Athena Bitcoin pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.9503
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0011
MADMean absolute deviation0.0086
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0994
SAESum of the absolute errors0.5156
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Athena Bitcoin Global forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Athena Bitcoin observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Athena Bitcoin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Athena Bitcoin Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1119.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.119.71
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Athena Bitcoin

For every potential investor in Athena, whether a beginner or expert, Athena Bitcoin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Athena Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Athena. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Athena Bitcoin's price trends.

Athena Bitcoin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Athena Bitcoin pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Athena Bitcoin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Athena Bitcoin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Athena Bitcoin Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Athena Bitcoin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Athena Bitcoin's current price.

Athena Bitcoin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Athena Bitcoin pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Athena Bitcoin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Athena Bitcoin pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Athena Bitcoin Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Athena Bitcoin Risk Indicators

The analysis of Athena Bitcoin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Athena Bitcoin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting athena pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Athena Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Athena Bitcoin's price analysis, check to measure Athena Bitcoin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Athena Bitcoin is operating at the current time. Most of Athena Bitcoin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Athena Bitcoin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Athena Bitcoin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Athena Bitcoin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.