Accenture Plc Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

ACNN Stock  MXN 7,300  87.00  1.21%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Accenture plc on the next trading day is expected to be 7,300 with a mean absolute deviation of 72.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,269. Accenture Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Accenture Plc is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Accenture Plc Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Accenture plc on the next trading day is expected to be 7,300 with a mean absolute deviation of 72.36, mean absolute percentage error of 12,113, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,269.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Accenture Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Accenture Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Accenture Plc Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Accenture PlcAccenture Plc Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Accenture Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Accenture Plc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Accenture Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7,299 and 7,301, respectively. We have considered Accenture Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7,300
7,300
Expected Value
7,301
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Accenture Plc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Accenture Plc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.8367
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -13.3486
MADMean absolute deviation72.3589
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.01
SAESum of the absolute errors4269.175
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Accenture plc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Accenture Plc. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Accenture Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accenture plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7,2997,3007,301
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,1806,1818,030
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Accenture Plc

For every potential investor in Accenture, whether a beginner or expert, Accenture Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Accenture Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Accenture. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Accenture Plc's price trends.

Accenture Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Accenture Plc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Accenture Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Accenture Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Accenture plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Accenture Plc's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Accenture Plc's current price.

Accenture Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Accenture Plc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Accenture Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Accenture Plc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Accenture plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Accenture Plc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Accenture Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Accenture Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting accenture stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Accenture Stock Analysis

When running Accenture Plc's price analysis, check to measure Accenture Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Accenture Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Accenture Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Accenture Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Accenture Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Accenture Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.