Aciselsan Acipayam Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

ACSEL Stock  TRY 127.50  3.00  2.30%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz on the next trading day is expected to be 124.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.53. Aciselsan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aciselsan Acipayam's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Aciselsan Acipayam polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Aciselsan Acipayam Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz on the next trading day is expected to be 124.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.19, mean absolute percentage error of 15.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aciselsan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aciselsan Acipayam's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aciselsan Acipayam Stock Forecast Pattern

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Aciselsan Acipayam Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Aciselsan Acipayam's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aciselsan Acipayam's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 122.05 and 126.77, respectively. We have considered Aciselsan Acipayam's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
127.50
122.05
Downside
124.41
Expected Value
126.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aciselsan Acipayam stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aciselsan Acipayam stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.6809
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.1859
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0284
SAESum of the absolute errors197.5285
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Aciselsan Acipayam historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Aciselsan Acipayam

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aciselsan Acipayam. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
128.16130.50132.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.42103.76143.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
96.77111.06125.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Aciselsan Acipayam

For every potential investor in Aciselsan, whether a beginner or expert, Aciselsan Acipayam's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aciselsan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aciselsan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aciselsan Acipayam's price trends.

Aciselsan Acipayam Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aciselsan Acipayam stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aciselsan Acipayam could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aciselsan Acipayam by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aciselsan Acipayam Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Aciselsan Acipayam's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Aciselsan Acipayam's current price.

Aciselsan Acipayam Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aciselsan Acipayam stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aciselsan Acipayam shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aciselsan Acipayam stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aciselsan Acipayam Seluloz entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Aciselsan Acipayam Risk Indicators

The analysis of Aciselsan Acipayam's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aciselsan Acipayam's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aciselsan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Aciselsan Stock

Aciselsan Acipayam financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aciselsan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aciselsan with respect to the benefits of owning Aciselsan Acipayam security.