Aboitiz Equity Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| AEV Stock | 33.80 0.30 0.88% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Aboitiz Equity Ventures on the next trading day is expected to be 34.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.70. Aboitiz Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Aboitiz Equity stock prices and determine the direction of Aboitiz Equity Ventures's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aboitiz Equity's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Aboitiz |
Aboitiz Equity 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Aboitiz Equity Ventures on the next trading day is expected to be 34.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92, mean absolute percentage error of 1.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aboitiz Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aboitiz Equity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aboitiz Equity Stock Forecast Pattern
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Aboitiz Equity Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aboitiz Equity's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aboitiz Equity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.13 and 35.99, respectively. We have considered Aboitiz Equity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aboitiz Equity stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aboitiz Equity stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 81.6346 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.8465 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9194 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0266 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.695 |
Predictive Modules for Aboitiz Equity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aboitiz Equity Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Aboitiz Equity
For every potential investor in Aboitiz, whether a beginner or expert, Aboitiz Equity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aboitiz Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aboitiz. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aboitiz Equity's price trends.Aboitiz Equity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aboitiz Equity stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aboitiz Equity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aboitiz Equity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aboitiz Equity Ventures Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Aboitiz Equity's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Aboitiz Equity's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Aboitiz Equity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aboitiz Equity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aboitiz Equity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aboitiz Equity stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aboitiz Equity Ventures entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Aboitiz Equity Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aboitiz Equity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aboitiz Equity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aboitiz stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Variance | 3.6 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Aboitiz Stock
Aboitiz Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aboitiz Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aboitiz with respect to the benefits of owning Aboitiz Equity security.