Active Health Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

AHFD Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Active Health Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000333 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002. Active Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Active Health stock prices and determine the direction of Active Health Foods's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Active Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Active Health simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Active Health Foods are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Active Health Foods prices get older.

Active Health Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Active Health Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000333, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Active Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Active Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Active Health Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Active Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Active Health's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Active Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 8.33, respectively. We have considered Active Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
8.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Active Health pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Active Health pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria95.1439
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0333
SAESum of the absolute errors2.0E-4
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Active Health Foods forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Active Health observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Active Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Active Health Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00018.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000968.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Active Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Active Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Active Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Active Health Foods.

Other Forecasting Options for Active Health

For every potential investor in Active, whether a beginner or expert, Active Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Active Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Active. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Active Health's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Active Health Foods Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Active Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Active Health's current price.

Active Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Active Health pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Active Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Active Health pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Active Health Foods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Active Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Active Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Active Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting active pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Active Pink Sheet

Active Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Active Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Active with respect to the benefits of owning Active Health security.