Amadeus IT Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

AI3A Stock  EUR 66.38  0.28  0.42%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Amadeus IT Group on the next trading day is expected to be 67.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.43. Amadeus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Amadeus IT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Amadeus IT is based on an artificially constructed time series of Amadeus IT daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Amadeus IT 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Amadeus IT Group on the next trading day is expected to be 67.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.99, mean absolute percentage error of 1.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amadeus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amadeus IT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amadeus IT Stock Forecast Pattern

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Amadeus IT Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amadeus IT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amadeus IT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.39 and 68.50, respectively. We have considered Amadeus IT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
66.38
67.45
Expected Value
68.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amadeus IT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amadeus IT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.8155
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1894
MADMean absolute deviation0.9892
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0147
SAESum of the absolute errors52.43
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Amadeus IT Group 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Amadeus IT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amadeus IT Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65.3366.3867.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.5866.6267.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
64.8267.7470.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amadeus IT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amadeus IT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amadeus IT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amadeus IT Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Amadeus IT

For every potential investor in Amadeus, whether a beginner or expert, Amadeus IT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amadeus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amadeus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amadeus IT's price trends.

Amadeus IT Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amadeus IT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amadeus IT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amadeus IT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amadeus IT Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amadeus IT's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amadeus IT's current price.

Amadeus IT Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amadeus IT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amadeus IT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amadeus IT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amadeus IT Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amadeus IT Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amadeus IT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amadeus IT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amadeus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Amadeus Stock

Amadeus IT financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amadeus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amadeus with respect to the benefits of owning Amadeus IT security.