Baikowski SASU Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

ALBKK Stock  EUR 14.30  0.70  4.67%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Baikowski SASU on the next trading day is expected to be 14.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.61. Baikowski Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Baikowski SASU polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Baikowski SASU as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Baikowski SASU Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Baikowski SASU on the next trading day is expected to be 14.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baikowski Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baikowski SASU's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Baikowski SASU Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Baikowski SASUBaikowski SASU Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Baikowski SASU Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Baikowski SASU's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Baikowski SASU's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.27 and 17.01, respectively. We have considered Baikowski SASU's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.30
14.64
Expected Value
17.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baikowski SASU stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baikowski SASU stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.143
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2888
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0175
SAESum of the absolute errors17.6144
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Baikowski SASU historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Baikowski SASU

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baikowski SASU. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9314.3016.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5913.9616.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.3616.1316.89
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Baikowski SASU

For every potential investor in Baikowski, whether a beginner or expert, Baikowski SASU's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Baikowski Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Baikowski. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Baikowski SASU's price trends.

Baikowski SASU Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Baikowski SASU stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Baikowski SASU could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baikowski SASU by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Baikowski SASU Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Baikowski SASU's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Baikowski SASU's current price.

Baikowski SASU Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Baikowski SASU stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Baikowski SASU shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Baikowski SASU stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Baikowski SASU entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Baikowski SASU Risk Indicators

The analysis of Baikowski SASU's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baikowski SASU's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting baikowski stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Baikowski Stock Analysis

When running Baikowski SASU's price analysis, check to measure Baikowski SASU's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Baikowski SASU is operating at the current time. Most of Baikowski SASU's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Baikowski SASU's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Baikowski SASU's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Baikowski SASU to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.