I2S SA Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ALI2S Stock | EUR 8.80 0.70 8.64% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of i2S SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.36. I2S Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
I2S |
I2S SA Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of i2S SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict I2S Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that I2S SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
I2S SA Stock Forecast Pattern
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I2S SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting I2S SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. I2S SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.88 and 12.71, respectively. We have considered I2S SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of I2S SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent I2S SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0023 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0182 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1894 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0234 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.3621 |
Predictive Modules for I2S SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as i2S SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of I2S SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for I2S SA
For every potential investor in I2S, whether a beginner or expert, I2S SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. I2S Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in I2S. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying I2S SA's price trends.I2S SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with I2S SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of I2S SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing I2S SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
i2S SA Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of I2S SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of I2S SA's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
I2S SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how I2S SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading I2S SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying I2S SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify i2S SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.09 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.8 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.8 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.35 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.7 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 46.0 |
I2S SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of I2S SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in I2S SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting i2s stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.39 | |||
| Variance | 19.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 51.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.94) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for I2S Stock Analysis
When running I2S SA's price analysis, check to measure I2S SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy I2S SA is operating at the current time. Most of I2S SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of I2S SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move I2S SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of I2S SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.