Ally Leasehold Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

ALLY Stock  THB 5.45  0.10  1.87%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ally Leasehold Real on the next trading day is expected to be 5.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.24. Ally Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Ally Leasehold Real is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Ally Leasehold 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ally Leasehold Real on the next trading day is expected to be 5.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ally Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ally Leasehold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ally Leasehold Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ally Leasehold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ally Leasehold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ally Leasehold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.79 and 6.96, respectively. We have considered Ally Leasehold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.45
5.38
Expected Value
6.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ally Leasehold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ally Leasehold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.7008
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0353
MADMean absolute deviation0.0904
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0173
SAESum of the absolute errors5.2425
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Ally Leasehold. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Ally Leasehold Real and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Ally Leasehold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ally Leasehold Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.785.356.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.516.087.65
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ally Leasehold

For every potential investor in Ally, whether a beginner or expert, Ally Leasehold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ally Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ally. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ally Leasehold's price trends.

Ally Leasehold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ally Leasehold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ally Leasehold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ally Leasehold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ally Leasehold Real Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ally Leasehold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ally Leasehold's current price.

Ally Leasehold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ally Leasehold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ally Leasehold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ally Leasehold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ally Leasehold Real entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ally Leasehold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ally Leasehold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ally Leasehold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ally stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Ally Stock

Ally Leasehold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ally Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ally with respect to the benefits of owning Ally Leasehold security.