Angling Direct Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

ANG Stock   35.50  0.00  0.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Angling Direct PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 36.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.25. Angling Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Angling Direct stock prices and determine the direction of Angling Direct PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Angling Direct's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Angling Direct's Net Tangible Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Current Deferred Revenue is expected to grow to about 829.5 K, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 7.2 M.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Angling Direct PLC is based on a synthetically constructed Angling Directdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Angling Direct 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Angling Direct PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 36.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05, mean absolute percentage error of 1.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Angling Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Angling Direct's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Angling Direct Stock Forecast Pattern

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Angling Direct Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Angling Direct's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Angling Direct's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.65 and 38.05, respectively. We have considered Angling Direct's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35.50
36.35
Expected Value
38.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Angling Direct stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Angling Direct stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.6707
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0037
MADMean absolute deviation1.0549
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0289
SAESum of the absolute errors43.25
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Angling Direct PLC 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Angling Direct

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Angling Direct PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.8035.5037.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.3036.0037.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
35.1235.8336.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Angling Direct

For every potential investor in Angling, whether a beginner or expert, Angling Direct's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Angling Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Angling. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Angling Direct's price trends.

Angling Direct Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Angling Direct stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Angling Direct could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Angling Direct by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Angling Direct PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Angling Direct's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Angling Direct's current price.

Angling Direct Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Angling Direct stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Angling Direct shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Angling Direct stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Angling Direct PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Angling Direct Risk Indicators

The analysis of Angling Direct's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Angling Direct's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting angling stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Angling Stock

Angling Direct financial ratios help investors to determine whether Angling Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Angling with respect to the benefits of owning Angling Direct security.