Airports Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

AOT-R Stock  THB 60.75  0.61  0.99%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Airports of Thailand on the next trading day is expected to be 60.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.32. Airports Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Airports stock prices and determine the direction of Airports of Thailand's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Airports' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Airports is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Airports Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Airports of Thailand on the next trading day is expected to be 60.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.68, mean absolute percentage error of 129.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Airports Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Airports' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Airports Stock Forecast Pattern

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Airports Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Airports' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Airports' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.61 and 238.23, respectively. We have considered Airports' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
60.75
60.75
Expected Value
238.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Airports stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Airports stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.2964
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.253
MADMean absolute deviation2.6833
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors158.315
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Airports of Thailand price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Airports. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Airports

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Airports of Thailand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.0460.756,136
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.0240.366,115
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
42.1266.0689.99
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Airports

For every potential investor in Airports, whether a beginner or expert, Airports' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Airports Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Airports. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Airports' price trends.

Airports Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Airports stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Airports could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Airports by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Airports of Thailand Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Airports' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Airports' current price.

Airports Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Airports stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Airports shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Airports stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Airports of Thailand entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Airports Risk Indicators

The analysis of Airports' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Airports' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting airports stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Airports Stock

Airports financial ratios help investors to determine whether Airports Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Airports with respect to the benefits of owning Airports security.