Apexindo Pratama Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| APEX Stock | IDR 134.00 1.00 0.75% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Apexindo Pratama Duta on the next trading day is expected to be 134.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.00. Apexindo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Apexindo |
Apexindo Pratama Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Apexindo Pratama Duta on the next trading day is expected to be 134.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.78, mean absolute percentage error of 13.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apexindo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apexindo Pratama's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Apexindo Pratama Stock Forecast Pattern
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Apexindo Pratama Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Apexindo Pratama's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Apexindo Pratama's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 131.72 and 136.28, respectively. We have considered Apexindo Pratama's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apexindo Pratama stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apexindo Pratama stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0628 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.661 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.7797 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0186 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 164.0 |
Predictive Modules for Apexindo Pratama
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apexindo Pratama Duta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Apexindo Pratama
For every potential investor in Apexindo, whether a beginner or expert, Apexindo Pratama's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Apexindo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Apexindo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Apexindo Pratama's price trends.Apexindo Pratama Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Apexindo Pratama stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Apexindo Pratama could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apexindo Pratama by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Apexindo Pratama Duta Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Apexindo Pratama's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Apexindo Pratama's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Apexindo Pratama Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apexindo Pratama stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apexindo Pratama shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apexindo Pratama stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Apexindo Pratama Duta entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Apexindo Pratama Risk Indicators
The analysis of Apexindo Pratama's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apexindo Pratama's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apexindo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.77 | |||
| Variance | 7.66 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Apexindo Pratama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apexindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apexindo with respect to the benefits of owning Apexindo Pratama security.