Arkema SA Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

ARKAF Stock  USD 88.40  0.00  0.00%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Arkema SA on the next trading day is expected to be 88.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Arkema Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Arkema SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Arkema SA is based on an artificially constructed time series of Arkema SA daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Arkema SA 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Arkema SA on the next trading day is expected to be 88.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Arkema Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Arkema SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Arkema SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Arkema SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Arkema SA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Arkema SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 88.40 and 88.40, respectively. We have considered Arkema SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
88.40
88.40
Expected Value
88.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Arkema SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Arkema SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria39.6379
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Arkema SA 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Arkema SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arkema SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.4088.4088.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.4088.4088.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arkema SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arkema SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arkema SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Arkema SA.

Other Forecasting Options for Arkema SA

For every potential investor in Arkema, whether a beginner or expert, Arkema SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Arkema Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Arkema. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Arkema SA's price trends.

Arkema SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Arkema SA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Arkema SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arkema SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Arkema SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Arkema SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Arkema SA's current price.

Arkema SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Arkema SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Arkema SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Arkema SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Arkema SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Arkema Pink Sheet

Arkema SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arkema Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arkema with respect to the benefits of owning Arkema SA security.