Atlantic Grupa Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ATGR Stock   51.00  1.00  1.92%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atlantic Grupa dd on the next trading day is expected to be 51.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.10. Atlantic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Atlantic Grupa simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Atlantic Grupa dd are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Atlantic Grupa dd prices get older.

Atlantic Grupa Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atlantic Grupa dd on the next trading day is expected to be 51.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atlantic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atlantic Grupa's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Atlantic Grupa Stock Forecast Pattern

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Atlantic Grupa Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Atlantic Grupa's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atlantic Grupa's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.96 and 52.10, respectively. We have considered Atlantic Grupa's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.00
51.03
Expected Value
52.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atlantic Grupa stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atlantic Grupa stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1903
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0248
MADMean absolute deviation0.4516
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0088
SAESum of the absolute errors27.0976
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Atlantic Grupa dd forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Atlantic Grupa observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Atlantic Grupa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlantic Grupa dd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.9351.0052.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.1543.2256.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
50.9851.8652.74
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Atlantic Grupa

For every potential investor in Atlantic, whether a beginner or expert, Atlantic Grupa's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atlantic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atlantic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atlantic Grupa's price trends.

Atlantic Grupa Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atlantic Grupa stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atlantic Grupa could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atlantic Grupa by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Atlantic Grupa dd Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Atlantic Grupa's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Atlantic Grupa's current price.

Atlantic Grupa Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atlantic Grupa stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atlantic Grupa shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atlantic Grupa stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atlantic Grupa dd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Atlantic Grupa Risk Indicators

The analysis of Atlantic Grupa's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atlantic Grupa's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atlantic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Atlantic Stock Analysis

When running Atlantic Grupa's price analysis, check to measure Atlantic Grupa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlantic Grupa is operating at the current time. Most of Atlantic Grupa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlantic Grupa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlantic Grupa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlantic Grupa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.