Cardano Impact Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

AVWA Fund  EUR 54.94  0.53  0.96%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cardano Impact Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 54.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.36. Cardano Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Cardano Impact is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cardano Impact Equity value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cardano Impact Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cardano Impact Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 54.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cardano Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cardano Impact's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cardano Impact Fund Forecast Pattern

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Cardano Impact Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cardano Impact's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cardano Impact's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.01 and 55.43, respectively. We have considered Cardano Impact's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
54.94
54.72
Expected Value
55.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cardano Impact fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cardano Impact fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7846
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3993
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0075
SAESum of the absolute errors24.3565
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cardano Impact Equity. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cardano Impact. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cardano Impact

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cardano Impact Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.2354.9455.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.4557.4258.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
51.4453.8056.16
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cardano Impact

For every potential investor in Cardano, whether a beginner or expert, Cardano Impact's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cardano Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cardano. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cardano Impact's price trends.

Cardano Impact Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cardano Impact fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cardano Impact could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cardano Impact by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cardano Impact Equity Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cardano Impact's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cardano Impact's current price.

Cardano Impact Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cardano Impact fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cardano Impact shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cardano Impact fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Cardano Impact Equity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cardano Impact Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cardano Impact's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cardano Impact's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cardano fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Cardano Fund

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