Banco Bradesco Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BBD Stock  USD 1.93  0.05  2.66%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Bradesco SA on the next trading day is expected to be 1.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.57. Banco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Banco Bradesco stock prices and determine the direction of Banco Bradesco SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Banco Bradesco's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of December 24, 2024, Receivables Turnover is expected to decline to 3.05. In addition to that, Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to decline to 8.14. The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 11.3 B. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 25 B.
A two period moving average forecast for Banco Bradesco is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Banco Bradesco Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Bradesco SA on the next trading day is expected to be 1.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banco Bradesco's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Banco Bradesco Stock Forecast Pattern

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Banco Bradesco Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Banco Bradesco's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banco Bradesco's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.11, respectively. We have considered Banco Bradesco's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.93
1.93
Expected Value
4.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banco Bradesco stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banco Bradesco stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.7604
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.018
MADMean absolute deviation0.0436
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0193
SAESum of the absolute errors2.57
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Banco Bradesco SA price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Banco Bradesco. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Banco Bradesco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Bradesco SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.914.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.202.384.56
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.523.874.30
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.080.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco Bradesco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco Bradesco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco Bradesco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Banco Bradesco SA.

Other Forecasting Options for Banco Bradesco

For every potential investor in Banco, whether a beginner or expert, Banco Bradesco's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banco Bradesco's price trends.

Banco Bradesco Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banco Bradesco stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banco Bradesco could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banco Bradesco by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Banco Bradesco SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Banco Bradesco's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Banco Bradesco's current price.

Banco Bradesco Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banco Bradesco stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banco Bradesco shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banco Bradesco stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Banco Bradesco SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Banco Bradesco Risk Indicators

The analysis of Banco Bradesco's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Banco Bradesco's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Banco Bradesco SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Banco Bradesco's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Banco Bradesco Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Banco Bradesco Sa Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banco Bradesco to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banco Bradesco. If investors know Banco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Banco Bradesco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.436
Dividend Share
1.114
Earnings Share
0.21
Revenue Per Share
7.098
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.429
The market value of Banco Bradesco SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Banco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Banco Bradesco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Banco Bradesco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Banco Bradesco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Banco Bradesco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Bradesco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Bradesco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Bradesco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.