Beyaz Filo Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

BEYAZ Stock  TRY 29.10  0.64  2.25%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beyaz Filo Oto on the next trading day is expected to be 26.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.53. Beyaz Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Beyaz Filo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Beyaz Filo Oto is based on a synthetically constructed Beyaz Filodaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Beyaz Filo 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Beyaz Filo Oto on the next trading day is expected to be 26.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.65, mean absolute percentage error of 4.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beyaz Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beyaz Filo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beyaz Filo Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Beyaz FiloBeyaz Filo Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Beyaz Filo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beyaz Filo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beyaz Filo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.11 and 29.81, respectively. We have considered Beyaz Filo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.10
26.96
Expected Value
29.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beyaz Filo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beyaz Filo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.8882
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.4707
MADMean absolute deviation1.647
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0622
SAESum of the absolute errors67.528
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Beyaz Filo Oto 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Beyaz Filo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beyaz Filo Oto. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.2529.1031.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8922.7432.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.4127.0429.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beyaz Filo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beyaz Filo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beyaz Filo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beyaz Filo Oto.

Other Forecasting Options for Beyaz Filo

For every potential investor in Beyaz, whether a beginner or expert, Beyaz Filo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beyaz Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beyaz. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beyaz Filo's price trends.

Beyaz Filo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beyaz Filo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beyaz Filo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beyaz Filo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beyaz Filo Oto Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Beyaz Filo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Beyaz Filo's current price.

Beyaz Filo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beyaz Filo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beyaz Filo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beyaz Filo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beyaz Filo Oto entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beyaz Filo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beyaz Filo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beyaz Filo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beyaz stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Other Information on Investing in Beyaz Stock

Beyaz Filo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beyaz Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beyaz with respect to the benefits of owning Beyaz Filo security.