BM European Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

BMRRY Stock  USD 18.71  0.66  3.66%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BM European Value on the next trading day is expected to be 17.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.09. BMRRY Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for BM European is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of BM European Value value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

BM European Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BM European Value on the next trading day is expected to be 17.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BMRRY Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BM European's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BM European Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest BM EuropeanBM European Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

BM European Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BM European's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BM European's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.97 and 19.89, respectively. We have considered BM European's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.71
17.93
Expected Value
19.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BM European pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BM European pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.4203
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3293
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0175
SAESum of the absolute errors20.0889
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of BM European Value. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict BM European. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for BM European

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BM European Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.7518.7120.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.0619.0220.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.1818.2523.32
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BM European

For every potential investor in BMRRY, whether a beginner or expert, BM European's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BMRRY Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BMRRY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BM European's price trends.

BM European Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BM European pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BM European could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BM European by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BM European Value Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BM European's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BM European's current price.

BM European Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BM European pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BM European shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BM European pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify BM European Value entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BM European Risk Indicators

The analysis of BM European's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BM European's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bmrry pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for BMRRY Pink Sheet Analysis

When running BM European's price analysis, check to measure BM European's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BM European is operating at the current time. Most of BM European's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BM European's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BM European's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BM European to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.