Banzai International Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BNZI Stock   1.62  0.02  1.22%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banzai International on the next trading day is expected to be 1.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.84. Banzai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Banzai International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Banzai International's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 70.05, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to (26.21). . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 6.5 M.

Banzai International Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Banzai International's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
2.1 M
Current Value
1.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
331 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Banzai International is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Banzai International value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Banzai International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Banzai International on the next trading day is expected to be 1.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banzai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banzai International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Banzai International Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Banzai InternationalBanzai International Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Banzai International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Banzai International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banzai International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 20.28, respectively. We have considered Banzai International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.62
1.32
Expected Value
20.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banzai International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banzai International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0818
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2105
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0781
SAESum of the absolute errors12.8394
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Banzai International. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Banzai International. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Banzai International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banzai International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.7420.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.0220.99
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.733.003.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banzai International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banzai International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banzai International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Banzai International.

Other Forecasting Options for Banzai International

For every potential investor in Banzai, whether a beginner or expert, Banzai International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banzai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banzai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banzai International's price trends.

Banzai International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banzai International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banzai International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banzai International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Banzai International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Banzai International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Banzai International's current price.

Banzai International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banzai International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banzai International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banzai International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Banzai International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Banzai International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Banzai International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Banzai International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting banzai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Banzai International is a strong investment it is important to analyze Banzai International's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Banzai International's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Banzai Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Banzai International to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Banzai Stock please use our How to Invest in Banzai International guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banzai International. If investors know Banzai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Banzai International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(6.98)
Revenue Per Share
14.72
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
Return On Assets
(1.70)
The market value of Banzai International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Banzai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Banzai International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Banzai International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Banzai International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Banzai International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banzai International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banzai International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banzai International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.