Brand Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

BRND Stock  ILS 286.00  1.30  0.45%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Brand Group on the next trading day is expected to be 274.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 581.42. Brand Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Brand stock prices and determine the direction of Brand Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Brand's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Brand Group is based on a synthetically constructed Branddaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Brand 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Brand Group on the next trading day is expected to be 274.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.18, mean absolute percentage error of 263.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 581.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brand Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brand's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Brand Stock Forecast Pattern

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Brand Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Brand's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brand's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 271.97 and 276.56, respectively. We have considered Brand's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
286.00
271.97
Downside
274.26
Expected Value
276.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brand stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brand stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria86.9283
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -14.0372
MADMean absolute deviation14.1809
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0533
SAESum of the absolute errors581.415
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Brand Group 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Brand

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brand Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
283.70286.00288.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
224.29226.59314.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
244.44274.27304.09
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Brand

For every potential investor in Brand, whether a beginner or expert, Brand's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brand Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brand. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brand's price trends.

Brand Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brand stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brand could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brand by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Brand Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Brand's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Brand's current price.

Brand Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brand stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brand shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brand stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brand Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Brand Risk Indicators

The analysis of Brand's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brand's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brand stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Brand Stock

Brand financial ratios help investors to determine whether Brand Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Brand with respect to the benefits of owning Brand security.