Borusan Yatirim Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

BRYAT Stock  TRY 2,225  26.00  1.16%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Borusan Yatirim ve on the next trading day is expected to be 2,231 with a mean absolute deviation of 43.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,584. Borusan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Borusan Yatirim's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Borusan Yatirim - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Borusan Yatirim prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Borusan Yatirim price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Borusan Yatirim ve.

Borusan Yatirim Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Borusan Yatirim ve on the next trading day is expected to be 2,231 with a mean absolute deviation of 43.80, mean absolute percentage error of 3,574, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,584.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Borusan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Borusan Yatirim's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Borusan Yatirim Stock Forecast Pattern

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Borusan Yatirim Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Borusan Yatirim's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Borusan Yatirim's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,228 and 2,233, respectively. We have considered Borusan Yatirim's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,225
2,231
Expected Value
2,233
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Borusan Yatirim stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Borusan Yatirim stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -7.7657
MADMean absolute deviation43.7971
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0221
SAESum of the absolute errors2584.0312
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Borusan Yatirim observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Borusan Yatirim ve observations.

Predictive Modules for Borusan Yatirim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Borusan Yatirim ve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Borusan Yatirim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,2222,2252,228
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,7871,7892,448
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,9932,1232,252
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Borusan Yatirim

For every potential investor in Borusan, whether a beginner or expert, Borusan Yatirim's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Borusan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Borusan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Borusan Yatirim's price trends.

Borusan Yatirim Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Borusan Yatirim stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Borusan Yatirim could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Borusan Yatirim by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Borusan Yatirim ve Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Borusan Yatirim's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Borusan Yatirim's current price.

Borusan Yatirim Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Borusan Yatirim stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Borusan Yatirim shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Borusan Yatirim stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Borusan Yatirim ve entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Borusan Yatirim Risk Indicators

The analysis of Borusan Yatirim's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Borusan Yatirim's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting borusan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Borusan Stock

Borusan Yatirim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Borusan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Borusan with respect to the benefits of owning Borusan Yatirim security.