Baticim Bati Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

BTCIM Stock  TRY 136.00  1.60  1.19%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Baticim Bati Anadolu on the next trading day is expected to be 135.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 190.26. Baticim Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Baticim Bati's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Baticim Bati - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Baticim Bati prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Baticim Bati price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Baticim Bati Anadolu.

Baticim Bati Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Baticim Bati Anadolu on the next trading day is expected to be 135.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.22, mean absolute percentage error of 17.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 190.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Baticim Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Baticim Bati's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Baticim Bati Stock Forecast Pattern

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Baticim Bati Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Baticim Bati's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Baticim Bati's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 132.57 and 138.00, respectively. We have considered Baticim Bati's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
136.00
132.57
Downside
135.28
Expected Value
138.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Baticim Bati stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Baticim Bati stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6154
MADMean absolute deviation3.2248
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0218
SAESum of the absolute errors190.2633
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Baticim Bati observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Baticim Bati Anadolu observations.

Predictive Modules for Baticim Bati

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baticim Bati Anadolu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
133.05136.00138.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
118.26121.21149.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Baticim Bati

For every potential investor in Baticim, whether a beginner or expert, Baticim Bati's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Baticim Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Baticim. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Baticim Bati's price trends.

Baticim Bati Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Baticim Bati stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Baticim Bati could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baticim Bati by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Baticim Bati Anadolu Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Baticim Bati's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Baticim Bati's current price.

Baticim Bati Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Baticim Bati stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Baticim Bati shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Baticim Bati stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Baticim Bati Anadolu entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Baticim Bati Risk Indicators

The analysis of Baticim Bati's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Baticim Bati's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting baticim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Baticim Stock

Baticim Bati financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baticim Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baticim with respect to the benefits of owning Baticim Bati security.