Cable One Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

C1AB34 Stock  BRL 12.24  0.51  4.35%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cable One on the next trading day is expected to be 12.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.19. Cable Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cable One stock prices and determine the direction of Cable One's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cable One's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Cable One is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cable One value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cable One Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cable One on the next trading day is expected to be 12.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cable Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cable One's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cable One Stock Forecast Pattern

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Cable One Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cable One's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cable One's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.71 and 14.30, respectively. We have considered Cable One's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.24
12.00
Expected Value
14.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cable One stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cable One stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.2696
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1834
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0182
SAESum of the absolute errors11.1861
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cable One. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cable One. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cable One

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cable One. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9412.2414.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.269.5513.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cable One. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cable One's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cable One's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cable One.

Other Forecasting Options for Cable One

For every potential investor in Cable, whether a beginner or expert, Cable One's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cable Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cable. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cable One's price trends.

Cable One Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cable One stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cable One could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cable One by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cable One Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cable One's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cable One's current price.

Cable One Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cable One stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cable One shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cable One stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cable One entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cable One Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cable One's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cable One's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cable stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cable Stock

When determining whether Cable One offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cable One's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cable One Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cable One Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cable One to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Cable Stock refer to our How to Trade Cable Stock guide.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cable One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cable One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cable One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.