Yen Bai Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CAP Stock   45,000  300.00  0.67%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Yen Bai Forest on the next trading day is expected to be 45,000 with a mean absolute deviation of 416.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25,000. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Yen Bai's stock prices and determine the direction of Yen Bai Forest's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Yen Bai's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Yen Bai simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Yen Bai Forest are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Yen Bai Forest prices get older.

Yen Bai Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Yen Bai Forest on the next trading day is expected to be 45,000 with a mean absolute deviation of 416.67, mean absolute percentage error of 473,667, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25,000.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yen Bai's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Yen Bai Stock Forecast Pattern

Yen Bai Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Yen Bai's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yen Bai's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44,998 and 45,002, respectively. We have considered Yen Bai's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45,000
44,998
Downside
45,000
Expected Value
45,002
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yen Bai stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yen Bai stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria129.3409
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 50.0
MADMean absolute deviation416.6667
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0093
SAESum of the absolute errors25000.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Yen Bai Forest forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Yen Bai observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Yen Bai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yen Bai Forest. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Yen Bai

For every potential investor in Yen, whether a beginner or expert, Yen Bai's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yen Bai's price trends.

Yen Bai Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yen Bai stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yen Bai could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yen Bai by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Yen Bai Forest Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yen Bai's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yen Bai's current price.

Yen Bai Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yen Bai stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yen Bai shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yen Bai stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yen Bai Forest entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Yen Bai Risk Indicators

The analysis of Yen Bai's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yen Bai's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Yen Bai

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Yen Bai position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Yen Bai will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Yen Stock

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  0.54CSV South Basic ChemicalsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Yen Bai could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Yen Bai when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Yen Bai - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Yen Bai Forest to buy it.
The correlation of Yen Bai is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Yen Bai moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Yen Bai Forest moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Yen Bai can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching