CF Bankshares Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

CFBK Stock  USD 27.66  0.18  0.65%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CF Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 27.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.11. CFBK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although CF Bankshares' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of CF Bankshares' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CF Bankshares fundamentals over time.
  
Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 0.03 this year, although the value of Receivables Turnover will most likely fall to 1.96. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 6.8 M this year. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to rise to about 21.9 M this year.
A four-period moving average forecast model for CF Bankshares is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

CF Bankshares 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of CF Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 27.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58, mean absolute percentage error of 0.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CFBK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CF Bankshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CF Bankshares Stock Forecast Pattern

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CF Bankshares Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CF Bankshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CF Bankshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.52 and 30.45, respectively. We have considered CF Bankshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.66
27.98
Expected Value
30.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CF Bankshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CF Bankshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.3188
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.276
MADMean absolute deviation0.5809
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0224
SAESum of the absolute errors33.1125
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of CF Bankshares. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for CF Bankshares and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for CF Bankshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CF Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.1527.6130.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.8931.1633.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
23.5626.8630.17
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CF Bankshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CF Bankshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CF Bankshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CF Bankshares.

Other Forecasting Options for CF Bankshares

For every potential investor in CFBK, whether a beginner or expert, CF Bankshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CFBK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CFBK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CF Bankshares' price trends.

CF Bankshares Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CF Bankshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CF Bankshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CF Bankshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CF Bankshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CF Bankshares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CF Bankshares' current price.

CF Bankshares Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CF Bankshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CF Bankshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CF Bankshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CF Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CF Bankshares Risk Indicators

The analysis of CF Bankshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CF Bankshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cfbk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether CF Bankshares is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if CFBK Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Cf Bankshares Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Cf Bankshares Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CF Bankshares to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy CFBK Stock please use our How to buy in CFBK Stock guide.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CF Bankshares. If investors know CFBK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CF Bankshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.048
Dividend Share
0.24
Earnings Share
2.04
Revenue Per Share
7.026
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.062
The market value of CF Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CFBK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CF Bankshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CF Bankshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CF Bankshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CF Bankshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CF Bankshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CF Bankshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CF Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.