CGG SA Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CGGYYDelisted Stock  USD 0.89  0.01  1.14%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CGG SA ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 0.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.38. CGG Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for CGG SA is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CGG SA ADR value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CGG SA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CGG SA ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 0.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CGG Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CGG SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CGG SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest CGG SACGG SA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CGG SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CGG SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.2011
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0252
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0355
SAESum of the absolute errors1.3848
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CGG SA ADR. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CGG SA. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CGG SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CGG SA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CGG SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.890.890.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.680.680.98
Details

View CGG SA Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

CGG SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CGG SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CGG SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CGG SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CGG SA ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CGG SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of CGG SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CGG SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cgg pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Other Consideration for investing in CGG Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in CGG SA ADR check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the CGG SA's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon