Creative Global Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| CGTL Stock | 7.69 0.27 3.39% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Creative Global Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 7.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.62. Creative Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Creative |
Creative Global 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Creative Global Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 7.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23, mean absolute percentage error of 2.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Creative Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Creative Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Creative Global Stock Forecast Pattern
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Creative Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Creative Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Creative Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.08 and 211.65, respectively. We have considered Creative Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Creative Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Creative Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 36.4867 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.0664 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2261 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1635 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.6175 |
Predictive Modules for Creative Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Creative Global Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Creative Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Creative Global
For every potential investor in Creative, whether a beginner or expert, Creative Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Creative Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Creative. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Creative Global's price trends.Creative Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Creative Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Creative Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Creative Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Creative Global Tech Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Creative Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Creative Global's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Creative Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Creative Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Creative Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Creative Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Creative Global Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Creative Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Creative Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Creative Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting creative stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.97 | |||
| Variance | 143.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 49.84 | |||
| Semi Variance | 23.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (10.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Wholesale space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Creative Global. If investors know Creative will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Creative Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Creative Global Tech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Creative that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Creative Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Creative Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Creative Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Creative Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Creative Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Creative Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Creative Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.