Cheniere Energy Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

CHQ1 Stock  EUR 196.90  0.95  0.48%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cheniere Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 187.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 247.06. Cheniere Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cheniere Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Cheniere Energy polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Cheniere Energy as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Cheniere Energy Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cheniere Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 187.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.05, mean absolute percentage error of 26.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 247.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cheniere Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cheniere Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cheniere Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

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Cheniere Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cheniere Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cheniere Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 185.87 and 189.55, respectively. We have considered Cheniere Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
196.90
185.87
Downside
187.71
Expected Value
189.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cheniere Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cheniere Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.3912
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.0501
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0223
SAESum of the absolute errors247.059
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Cheniere Energy historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Cheniere Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheniere Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
195.06196.90198.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
177.21226.70228.54
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cheniere Energy

For every potential investor in Cheniere, whether a beginner or expert, Cheniere Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cheniere Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cheniere. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cheniere Energy's price trends.

Cheniere Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cheniere Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cheniere Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cheniere Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cheniere Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cheniere Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cheniere Energy's current price.

Cheniere Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cheniere Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cheniere Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cheniere Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cheniere Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cheniere Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cheniere Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cheniere Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cheniere stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cheniere Stock

When determining whether Cheniere Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cheniere Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cheniere Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cheniere Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheniere Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Cheniere Stock please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cheniere Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cheniere Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cheniere Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.