Mfs Intermediate Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Mfs Intermediate simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Mfs Intermediate High are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Mfs Intermediate High prices get older.

Mfs Intermediate Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mfs Intermediate High on the next trading day is expected to be 1.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000077, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.39.

Mfs Intermediate Fund Forecast Pattern

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Mfs Intermediate Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mfs Intermediate fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mfs Intermediate fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Mfs Intermediate High forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Mfs Intermediate observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Mfs Intermediate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mfs Intermediate High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 1.27 1.78 2.29 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 1.26 1.77 2.28 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 1.70 1.74 1.79 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mfs Intermediate

For every potential investor in Mfs, whether a beginner or expert, Mfs Intermediate's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mfs Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mfs. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mfs Intermediate's price trends.

Mfs Intermediate Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Mfs Intermediate High Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mfs Intermediate's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mfs Intermediate's current price.

Mfs Intermediate Market Strength Events

Mfs Intermediate Risk Indicators

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