COSCO SHIPPING Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

CITAY Stock  USD 5.19  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of COSCO SHIPPING Development on the next trading day is expected to be 5.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.14. COSCO Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through COSCO SHIPPING price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

COSCO SHIPPING Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of COSCO SHIPPING Development on the next trading day is expected to be 5.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict COSCO Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that COSCO SHIPPING's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

COSCO SHIPPING Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest COSCO SHIPPINGCOSCO SHIPPING Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

COSCO SHIPPING Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting COSCO SHIPPING's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. COSCO SHIPPING's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.89 and 5.58, respectively. We have considered COSCO SHIPPING's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.19
5.23
Expected Value
5.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of COSCO SHIPPING pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent COSCO SHIPPING pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.6931
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.035
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0068
SAESum of the absolute errors2.1366
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as COSCO SHIPPING Development historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for COSCO SHIPPING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COSCO SHIPPING Devel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.855.195.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.825.165.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as COSCO SHIPPING. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against COSCO SHIPPING's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, COSCO SHIPPING's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in COSCO SHIPPING Devel.

Other Forecasting Options for COSCO SHIPPING

For every potential investor in COSCO, whether a beginner or expert, COSCO SHIPPING's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. COSCO Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in COSCO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying COSCO SHIPPING's price trends.

COSCO SHIPPING Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with COSCO SHIPPING pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of COSCO SHIPPING could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing COSCO SHIPPING by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

COSCO SHIPPING Devel Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of COSCO SHIPPING's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of COSCO SHIPPING's current price.

COSCO SHIPPING Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how COSCO SHIPPING pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading COSCO SHIPPING shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying COSCO SHIPPING pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify COSCO SHIPPING Development entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

COSCO SHIPPING Risk Indicators

The analysis of COSCO SHIPPING's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in COSCO SHIPPING's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cosco pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for COSCO Pink Sheet Analysis

When running COSCO SHIPPING's price analysis, check to measure COSCO SHIPPING's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COSCO SHIPPING is operating at the current time. Most of COSCO SHIPPING's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COSCO SHIPPING's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COSCO SHIPPING's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COSCO SHIPPING to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.