Coca-Cola European Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CK0 Stock  EUR 73.30  0.70  0.96%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coca Cola European Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 73.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.21. Coca-Cola Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Coca-Cola European's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Coca-Cola European - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Coca-Cola European prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Coca-Cola European price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Coca Cola European.

Coca-Cola European Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coca Cola European Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 73.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12, mean absolute percentage error of 1.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coca-Cola Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coca-Cola European's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coca-Cola European Stock Forecast Pattern

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Coca-Cola European Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coca-Cola European's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coca-Cola European's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.34 and 74.88, respectively. We have considered Coca-Cola European's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
73.30
73.11
Expected Value
74.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coca-Cola European stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coca-Cola European stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1741
MADMean absolute deviation1.1222
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0157
SAESum of the absolute errors66.2126
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Coca-Cola European observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Coca Cola European Partners observations.

Predictive Modules for Coca-Cola European

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola European. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.5573.3075.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.5872.3374.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Coca-Cola European

For every potential investor in Coca-Cola, whether a beginner or expert, Coca-Cola European's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coca-Cola Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coca-Cola. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coca-Cola European's price trends.

Coca-Cola European Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coca-Cola European stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coca-Cola European could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coca-Cola European by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coca Cola European Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Coca-Cola European's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Coca-Cola European's current price.

Coca-Cola European Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coca-Cola European stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coca-Cola European shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coca-Cola European stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coca Cola European Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coca-Cola European Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coca-Cola European's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coca-Cola European's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coca-cola stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Coca-Cola Stock

When determining whether Coca Cola European is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Coca-Cola Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Coca Cola European Partners Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Coca Cola European Partners Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coca-Cola European to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coca-Cola European's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coca-Cola European is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coca-Cola European's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.