Curbline Properties Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CURB Stock   24.07  0.03  0.12%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Curbline Properties Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.94. Curbline Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Curbline Properties stock prices and determine the direction of Curbline Properties Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Curbline Properties' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Curbline Properties - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Curbline Properties prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Curbline Properties price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Curbline Properties Corp.

Curbline Properties Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Curbline Properties Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 24.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Curbline Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Curbline Properties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Curbline Properties Stock Forecast Pattern

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Curbline Properties Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Curbline Properties' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Curbline Properties' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.71 and 27.73, respectively. We have considered Curbline Properties' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.07
24.22
Expected Value
27.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Curbline Properties stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Curbline Properties stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0314
MADMean absolute deviation0.395
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0167
SAESum of the absolute errors20.9354
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Curbline Properties observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Curbline Properties Corp observations.

Predictive Modules for Curbline Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Curbline Properties Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5024.0127.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.9119.4226.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.5723.6824.78
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Curbline Properties

For every potential investor in Curbline, whether a beginner or expert, Curbline Properties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Curbline Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Curbline. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Curbline Properties' price trends.

Curbline Properties Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Curbline Properties stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Curbline Properties could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Curbline Properties by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Curbline Properties Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Curbline Properties' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Curbline Properties' current price.

Curbline Properties Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Curbline Properties stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Curbline Properties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Curbline Properties stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Curbline Properties Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Curbline Properties Risk Indicators

The analysis of Curbline Properties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Curbline Properties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting curbline stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Curbline Properties Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Curbline Properties' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Curbline Properties Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Curbline Properties Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Curbline Properties to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Real Estate space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Curbline Properties. If investors know Curbline will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Curbline Properties listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Curbline Properties Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Curbline that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Curbline Properties' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Curbline Properties' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Curbline Properties' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Curbline Properties' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Curbline Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Curbline Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Curbline Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.