Coveo Solutions Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CVO Stock   7.31  0.02  0.27%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Coveo Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 6.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.12. Coveo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Coveo Solutions' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Coveo Solutions' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Coveo Solutions fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Coveo Solutions' Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 2nd of December 2024, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 11.37, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 6.83. . As of the 2nd of December 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 112.2 M, while Net Loss is likely to drop (48 M).
A naive forecasting model for Coveo Solutions is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Coveo Solutions value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Coveo Solutions Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Coveo Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 6.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coveo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coveo Solutions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coveo Solutions Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Coveo SolutionsCoveo Solutions Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Coveo Solutions Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coveo Solutions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coveo Solutions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.12 and 10.68, respectively. We have considered Coveo Solutions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.31
6.90
Expected Value
10.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coveo Solutions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coveo Solutions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8798
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2314
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0376
SAESum of the absolute errors14.1169
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Coveo Solutions. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Coveo Solutions. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Coveo Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coveo Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.537.3111.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.945.729.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.00060.010.01
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Coveo Solutions

For every potential investor in Coveo, whether a beginner or expert, Coveo Solutions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coveo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coveo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coveo Solutions' price trends.

Coveo Solutions Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coveo Solutions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coveo Solutions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coveo Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coveo Solutions Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Coveo Solutions' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Coveo Solutions' current price.

Coveo Solutions Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coveo Solutions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coveo Solutions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coveo Solutions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coveo Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coveo Solutions Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coveo Solutions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coveo Solutions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coveo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in Coveo Stock

Coveo Solutions financial ratios help investors to determine whether Coveo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Coveo with respect to the benefits of owning Coveo Solutions security.