CYB Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

CYB Etf  USD 24.36  0.01  0.04%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CYB on the next trading day is expected to be 24.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.59. CYB Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CYB stock prices and determine the direction of CYB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CYB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for CYB is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CYB value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CYB Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CYB on the next trading day is expected to be 24.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CYB Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CYB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CYB Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest CYBCYB Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CYB etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CYB etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.4119
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0753
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0031
SAESum of the absolute errors4.5908
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CYB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CYB. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CYB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CYB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CYB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.3624.3624.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.4623.4626.80
Details

CYB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CYB etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CYB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CYB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CYB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CYB etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CYB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CYB etf market strength indicators, traders can identify CYB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CYB Risk Indicators

The analysis of CYB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CYB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cyb etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether CYB offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CYB's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cyb Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cyb Etf:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
The market value of CYB is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CYB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CYB's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CYB's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CYB's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CYB's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CYB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CYB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CYB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.