Dai-ichi Life Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

DCNSFDelisted Stock  USD 23.68  0.00  0.00%   
Dai-ichi Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dai-ichi Life's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Dai-ichi Life is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Dai ichi Life Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Dai-ichi Life Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dai ichi Life Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 25.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dai-ichi Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dai-ichi Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dai-ichi Life Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dai-ichi LifeDai-ichi Life Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dai-ichi Life pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dai-ichi Life pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.5836
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.516
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.019
SAESum of the absolute errors31.4775
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Dai ichi Life Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Dai-ichi Life. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Dai-ichi Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dai ichi Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dai-ichi Life's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.4825.4825.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.2822.2828.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.5025.5025.50
Details

Dai-ichi Life Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dai-ichi Life pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dai-ichi Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dai-ichi Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dai-ichi Life Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dai-ichi Life pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dai-ichi Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dai-ichi Life pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Dai ichi Life Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Other Consideration for investing in Dai-ichi Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Dai ichi Life check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Dai-ichi Life's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators