Darden Restaurants Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| DDN Stock | EUR 175.35 21.80 14.20% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Darden Restaurants on the next trading day is expected to be 172.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.41. Darden Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Darden Restaurants' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Darden |
Darden Restaurants Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Darden Restaurants on the next trading day is expected to be 172.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.24, mean absolute percentage error of 16.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 197.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Darden Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Darden Restaurants' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Darden Restaurants Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Darden Restaurants | Darden Restaurants Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Darden Restaurants Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Darden Restaurants' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Darden Restaurants' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 169.75 and 174.83, respectively. We have considered Darden Restaurants' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Darden Restaurants stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Darden Restaurants stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.9172 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2363 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0209 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 197.4138 |
Predictive Modules for Darden Restaurants
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Darden Restaurants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Darden Restaurants
For every potential investor in Darden, whether a beginner or expert, Darden Restaurants' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Darden Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Darden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Darden Restaurants' price trends.Darden Restaurants Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Darden Restaurants stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Darden Restaurants could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Darden Restaurants by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Darden Restaurants Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Darden Restaurants' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Darden Restaurants' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Darden Restaurants Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Darden Restaurants stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Darden Restaurants shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Darden Restaurants stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Darden Restaurants entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.14 | |||
| Day Median Price | 175.35 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 175.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 10.9 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 21.8 |
Darden Restaurants Risk Indicators
The analysis of Darden Restaurants' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Darden Restaurants' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting darden stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Variance | 6.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Darden Stock
When determining whether Darden Restaurants offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Darden Restaurants' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Darden Restaurants Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Darden Restaurants Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Darden Restaurants to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Darden Stock please use our How to Invest in Darden Restaurants guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.