Datadog Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

DDOG Stock  USD 149.22  2.29  1.56%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Datadog on the next trading day is expected to be 149.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 166.75. Datadog Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Datadog's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At this time, Datadog's Asset Turnover is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 315.3 M. The Datadog's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (42.9 M).
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Datadog works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Datadog Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Datadog on the next trading day is expected to be 149.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.83, mean absolute percentage error of 14.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 166.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Datadog Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Datadog's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Datadog Stock Forecast Pattern

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Datadog Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Datadog's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Datadog's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 146.61 and 151.81, respectively. We have considered Datadog's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
149.22
146.61
Downside
149.21
Expected Value
151.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Datadog stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Datadog stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.6036
MADMean absolute deviation2.8263
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0203
SAESum of the absolute errors166.75
When Datadog prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Datadog trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Datadog observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Datadog

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Datadog. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
144.49147.09149.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
135.27137.87161.62
Details
46 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
96.12105.63117.25
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.440.440.46
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Datadog

For every potential investor in Datadog, whether a beginner or expert, Datadog's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Datadog Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Datadog. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Datadog's price trends.

Datadog Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Datadog stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Datadog could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Datadog by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Datadog Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Datadog's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Datadog's current price.

Datadog Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Datadog stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Datadog shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Datadog stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Datadog entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Datadog Risk Indicators

The analysis of Datadog's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Datadog's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting datadog stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Datadog is a strong investment it is important to analyze Datadog's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Datadog's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Datadog Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Datadog to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Datadog Stock please use our How to Invest in Datadog guide.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Datadog. If investors know Datadog will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Datadog listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.333
Earnings Share
0.56
Revenue Per Share
7.609
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.26
Return On Assets
0.0111
The market value of Datadog is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Datadog that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Datadog's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Datadog's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Datadog's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Datadog's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Datadog's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Datadog is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Datadog's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.