BG Foods Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

DHR Stock  EUR 6.77  0.14  2.03%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of BG Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 6.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.17. DHR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BG Foods stock prices and determine the direction of BG Foods's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BG Foods' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for BG Foods is based on a synthetically constructed BG Foodsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

BG Foods 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of BG Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 6.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DHR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BG Foods' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BG Foods Stock Forecast Pattern

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BG Foods Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BG Foods' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BG Foods' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.76 and 9.80, respectively. We have considered BG Foods' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.77
6.78
Expected Value
9.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BG Foods stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BG Foods stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.8718
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1697
MADMean absolute deviation0.6382
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0988
SAESum of the absolute errors26.1655
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. BG Foods 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for BG Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BG Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.756.779.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.755.778.79
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BG Foods

For every potential investor in DHR, whether a beginner or expert, BG Foods' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DHR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DHR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BG Foods' price trends.

BG Foods Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BG Foods stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BG Foods could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BG Foods by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BG Foods Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BG Foods' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BG Foods' current price.

BG Foods Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BG Foods stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BG Foods shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BG Foods stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BG Foods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BG Foods Risk Indicators

The analysis of BG Foods' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BG Foods' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dhr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in DHR Stock

When determining whether BG Foods is a strong investment it is important to analyze BG Foods' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact BG Foods' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding DHR Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BG Foods to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade DHR Stock refer to our How to Trade DHR Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BG Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BG Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BG Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.